Bitcoin is currently trading within a narrow range defined by short-term supply and demand, following weeks of intense selling pressure that rocked the wider crypto market. After a decline of over 29% from its all-time high in January, BTC is in search of a clear direction. For the bulls to regain confidence and signal the beginning of a recovery rally, they need to push back and reclaim the $90,000 level. Until then, uncertainty will continue to dominate the scene.
Adding to this cautious atmosphere is the prevailing macroeconomic backdrop, with fears of trade wars and global financial instability significantly impacting investor confidence. Fluctuations in equity markets and geopolitical tensions have spilled over into the crypto market, complicating Bitcoin’s ability to forge a clear trend.
Top crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently shared a technical perspective on X, indicating that Bitcoin may have formed a classic cup-and-handle pattern, peaking at around $109,000. However, this doesn’t inherently indicate further downside, but rather underscores the lack of a defined direction for Bitcoin at this time.
For now, Bitcoin remains stable, yet whether its next move will be a breakout or a breakdown hinges on the market’s response in the upcoming days.
Bitcoin Faces A Pivotal Test After 13% Rebound
Bitcoin has quietly surged over 13% since its low near $76,600 on March 11, with bulls now aiming to reclaim the $88,000 threshold. This recent uptick has instilled a sense of cautious optimism in the market, although the trajectory ahead still appears uncertain. Currently, Bitcoin is undergoing a significant technical and psychological examination as it aims to recover from a pronounced downtrend initiated after its peak in January.
Investor sentiment has been divergent, with many entering 2025 anticipating a vigorous bull market; however, recent price movements and escalating macroeconomic worries have led some analysts to signal the commencement of a bear market. According to Martinez, Bitcoin may have already finalized a classic cup-and-handle pattern, potentially topping out near $110,000—merely $5,000 short of the anticipated $115,000 target. Should this technical framework prove accurate, the ongoing correction could merely represent an aspect of a larger consolidation phase.
This perspective supports the view that Bitcoin requires stabilization prior to its next significant movement. The bulls need to uphold current levels and generate momentum to surpass the $90,000 mark. For now, BTC seems to be in a waiting pattern, caught between the anticipation of a renewed uptrend and the anxiety of a potential deeper decline.
BTC Price Hovers At $84K As Bulls Face Critical Resistance
Bitcoin is presently priced at $84,100 after several days of tight consolidation and sluggish price action at this level. Market participants are keenly observing this range, as it epitomizes a crucial short-term battlefield between bulls and bears. For a meaningful recovery to transpire, the bulls must reclaim the $87,300 level, which corresponds with both the 4-hour 200-day moving average (MA) and the 4-hour 200-day exponential moving average (EMA).
A decisive break above these indicators could likely ignite a renewed pursuit toward the $90,000 threshold, a key psychological and technical barrier that could validate the initiation of a short-term bullish trend. However, failing to reclaim $87,300 and sustaining strength above $84,000 might shift the momentum in favor of the bears.
If BTC drops below the $84,000 support level, the next probable target would be beneath $81,000, where lower demand zones could come into effect. This scenario would amplify ongoing market uncertainty and heighten the risk of a more significant correction. As traders await guidance, all attention is focused on BTC’s capacity to regain momentum and transform resistance into support. The forthcoming sessions are likely to be critical for Bitcoin’s short-term price dynamics.
Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.