Bitcoin’s Safe Haven Status Questioned as Study Suggests It Functions Like a Tech Stock

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Bitcoin’s Safe Haven Status Questioned as Study Suggests It Functions Like a Tech Stock


Essential Insights

  • Bitcoin is increasingly resembling a tech stock rather than serving as a conventional financial hedge.
  • A hypothetical portfolio named “Mag 7B,” which substitutes Bitcoin for Tesla, has outperformed the traditional “Mag 7” tech stocks.
  • Despite its rising correlation with tech stocks, Bitcoin’s limited supply and decentralized nature continue to enhance its appeal as an inflation hedge.

The role of Bitcoin (BTC) in financial markets is changing. Once seen as a safeguard against economic turbulence, it now tends to move in parallel with tech stocks.

A recent study indicates that institutional adoption is transitioning Bitcoin’s identity from a financial haven to another asset within the larger tech landscape.

As its correlation with the Nasdaq increases, investors may need to reconsider Bitcoin’s role in their investment strategies.

Bitcoin Resembles a Tech Stock

According to Standard Chartered , the price movements of Bitcoin are now more closely tied to the Nasdaq than to traditional hedging instruments like gold.

The bank reports that Bitcoin’s correlation with the Nasdaq stands at 0.5, having peaked at 0.8 earlier this year.

In comparison, its correlation with gold has steadily dropped since January, briefly reaching zero, and currently sits just above 0.2.

Geoff Kendrick, Standard Chartered’s global head of digital assets research, noted that Bitcoin’s trading dynamics align more with tech stocks in the short term.

“This correlation suggests that institutional investors may view Bitcoin as part of a larger tech portfolio instead of solely as a financial hedge,” he added.

Tech-Focused Portfolio Featuring Bitcoin Outperforms

To explore Bitcoin’s potential within a tech-centric investment strategy, Standard Chartered introduced a hypothetical portfolio named “Mag 7B.”

This model replaces Tesla with Bitcoin in the popular Magnificent 7 group of tech stocks—Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla.

Since December 2017, the Mag 7B portfolio has surpassed the original Magnificent 7 by approximately 5%, generating an additional 1% in annualized returns.

Standard Chartered also points out that Bitcoin’s price trends reflect those of Nvidia, with both assets declining similarly since Trump took office.

While the bank acknowledges Bitcoin’s potential as a hedge against traditional financial uncertainties, its increasing similarity to tech stocks may attract more institutional interest.

Bitcoin’s Hedging Role is Declining

Investment giant BlackRock has echoed this viewpoint , suggesting a 1-2% allocation of Bitcoin in portfolios, positioning it alongside top tech companies such as Amazon and Microsoft.

“Although highly volatile, a small allocation may enhance portfolio diversification without substantially increasing risk,” BlackRock remarked.

With a rise in institutional adoption, Bitcoin’s price movements are starting to resemble those of more conventional assets, thus diminishing its historical role as a safeguard against economic downturns.

Nonetheless, some analysts argue that Bitcoin’s inherent attributes—including its limited supply—still render it an attractive option for hedging against inflation and currency devaluation.

“Nonetheless, its unique characteristics, such as its restricted supply, make it a valuable consideration for protecting against inflation and currency risks in an investor’s diversified portfolio,” stated analysts at OneSafe .

As Bitcoin integrates further into mainstream finance, its role may continue to transform—whether it will persist as a hedge or evolve into just another tech stock remains uncertain.


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